The latest episode of Trial Balloon is live for members. Who took the de-bait — Trump or Biden? Should Biden be moving to the center? What’s up with that New York Times/Siena poll? Join now to continue reading. Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below. *** China On Monday, Lai Ching-te will be inaugurated as the new president of Taiwan. Lai’s victory in January

The surprise news of the week was that President Biden and Donald Trump quickly agreed to two presidential debates. Almost nobody saw that coming, although there were reports of backchannel talks between the two campaigns. Here are some thoughts on what happened: Join now to continue

The latest episode of Trial Balloon is live for members. Who took the de-bait — Trump or Biden? Should Biden be moving to the center? What’s up with that New York Times/Siena poll? Join now to continue reading. Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising. Learn more.

In 2021, John Mueller wrote “War is on the Rocks” for War on the Rocks, in which he argued that interstate war was on the decline and was an institution no longer needed by international society. In response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and growing potential for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, we